La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 40.85%2.45quota equa
EV +2.95%
Vantaggio +1.17%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.057%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%40.72%40.84%44.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.302.302.5249.50%43.41%43.48%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arthur Fils (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.15%1.69quota equa
EV -0.045%
Vantaggio -0.026%
Kelly -0.065%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.34%59.28%59.16%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.46%62.11%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +2.95%E +1.17%K +1.94%G +0.057% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.28%E -7.52%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.32%E +0.532%K +0.892%G +0.012% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 03:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 03:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 03:09 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.045%E -0.026%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 17:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -17.47%E -8.65%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Novig | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |