Szkoła Kursów

Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils

Początek: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.85%2.45kurs godziwy
EV +2.95%
Przewaga +1.17%
Kelly +1.94%
Wzrost +0.057%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%40.72%40.84%44.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.022.302.302.5249.50%43.41%43.48%39.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arthur Fils (Goście)

Prognoza 59.15%1.69kurs godziwy
EV -0.045%
Przewaga -0.026%
Kelly -0.065%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.34%59.28%59.16%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.46%62.11%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +2.95%E +1.17%K +1.94%G +0.057%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 13:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.28%E -7.52%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:55
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.32%E +0.532%K +0.892%G +0.012%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 10:30
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:58
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:55
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:55
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 08:01
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:55
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:30
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 03:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:01
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:30
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:01
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 03:11
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 03:09
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:55
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.045%E -0.026%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:50
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -17.47%E -8.65%K -17.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-04-18 13:55