A Escola das Odds

Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 40.85%2.45odd justa
EV +2.95%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%40.72%40.84%44.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.022.302.302.5249.50%43.41%43.48%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 59.15%1.69odd justa
EV -0.045%
Vantagem -0.026%
Kelly -0.065%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.34%59.28%59.16%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.46%62.11%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +2.95%E +1.17%K +1.94%G +0.057%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 13:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.28%E -7.52%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:55
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.32%E +0.532%K +0.892%G +0.012%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 10:30
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:58
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:55
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:55
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 08:01
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:55
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:30
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:30
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 12:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 03:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:01
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:30
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:01
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 03:11
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 03:09
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:55
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.045%E -0.026%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:50
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -17.47%E -8.65%K -17.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-04-18 13:55
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-04-18 13:55