L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 40.85%2.45cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%40.72%40.84%44.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.302.302.5249.50%43.41%43.48%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.15%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.045%
Avantage -0.026%
Kelly -0.065%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.34%59.28%59.16%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.46%62.11%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +2.95%E +1.17%K +1.94%G +0.057% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.14%E +0.855%K +1.42%G +0.030% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.28%E -7.52%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.32%E +0.532%K +0.892%G +0.012% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.812%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.51%E -6.21%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.40%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 03:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.37%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.85%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 03:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 03:09 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.14%E -4.55%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.18%E -2.58%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.35%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -10.53%E -4.81%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.045%E -0.026%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 17:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -17.47%E -8.65%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -3.59%E -2.20%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Novig | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |