A Escola das Odds

Martin Landaluce v Lorenzo Musetti

Início: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Previsão 22.67%4.41odd justa
EV +4.49%
Vantagem +0.975%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.96%22.77%22.90%25.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.094.004.6127.78%24.48%25.00%21.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)

Previsão 77.33%1.29odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -9.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.07%77.23%77.10%79.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.18%81.30%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV +4.49%E +0.975%K +1.24%G +0.056%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:55
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +4.27%E +0.928%K +1.19%G +0.051%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:45
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.00%E +0.444%K +0.571%G +0.011%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 10:20
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -0.040%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 10:54
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.267%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
DraftKings4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -0.720%E -0.164%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 10:50
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:37
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:19
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:45
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.75%E -7.41%K -48.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:16
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:30
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.43%E -5.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 10:20
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:30
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:50
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 10:20
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:30
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:29
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:38
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:20
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:18
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:51
ProphetX4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:30
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-14 10:46