مدرسة الاحتمالات

Martin Landaluce v Lorenzo Musetti

البداية: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Martin Landaluce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.67%4.41السعر العادل
EV +4.49%
الأفضلية +0.975%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.056%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.96%22.77%22.90%25.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.094.004.6127.78%24.48%25.00%21.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lorenzo Musetti (الضيف)

التنبؤ 77.33%1.29السعر العادل
EV -2.56%
الأفضلية -2.03%
Kelly -9.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.07%77.23%77.10%79.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.18%81.30%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV +4.49%E +0.975%K +1.24%G +0.056%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:55
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +4.27%E +0.928%K +1.19%G +0.051%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:45
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.00%E +0.444%K +0.571%G +0.011%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 10:20
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -0.040%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 10:54
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.267%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
DraftKings4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -0.720%E -0.164%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 10:50
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:37
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:19
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:45
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.75%E -7.41%K -48.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:16
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:30
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.43%E -5.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 10:20
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:30
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:50
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 10:20
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:30
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:29
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:38
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:20
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:18
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:51
ProphetX4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:30
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-14 10:46