Szkoła Kursów

Martin Landaluce v Lorenzo Musetti

Początek: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Martin Landaluce (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 22.67%4.41kurs godziwy
EV +4.49%
Przewaga +0.975%
Kelly +1.24%
Wzrost +0.056%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.96%22.77%22.90%25.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.094.004.6127.78%24.48%25.00%21.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lorenzo Musetti (Goście)

Prognoza 77.33%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -2.56%
Przewaga -2.03%
Kelly -9.85%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.07%77.23%77.10%79.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.18%81.30%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV +4.49%E +0.975%K +1.24%G +0.056%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:55
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +4.27%E +0.928%K +1.19%G +0.051%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:45
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.00%E +0.444%K +0.571%G +0.011%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 10:20
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -0.040%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 10:54
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.267%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
DraftKings4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -0.720%E -0.164%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 10:50
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:37
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:19
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:45
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.75%E -7.41%K -48.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:16
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:30
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.43%E -5.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 10:20
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:30
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:50
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 10:20
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:30
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:29
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:38
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:20
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:18
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:51
ProphetX4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:30
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-14 10:46