Langue:Français
Martin Landaluce v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prévision 22.67%4.41cote équitable
EV +4.49%
Avantage +0.975%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.056%
avec la cote maximale 4.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.96%22.77%22.90%25.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.094.004.6127.78%24.48%25.00%21.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.33%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -9.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.07%77.23%77.10%79.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.18%81.30%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Landaluce (Local) : 22.67% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 77.33%. Pour Martin Landaluce (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.41. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.61, soit une espérance positive de +4.49%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV +4.49%E +0.975%K +1.24%G +0.056% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +4.27%E +0.928%K +1.19%G +0.051% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.00%E +0.444%K +0.571%G +0.011% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -0.040%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.267%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -0.720%E -0.164%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.75%E -7.41%K -48.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.43%E -5.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Novig◎ | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |