Die Wettquotenschule

Martin Landaluce v Lorenzo Musetti

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Martin Landaluce (Heim)

Prognose 22.67%4.41faire Quote
EV +4.49%
Vorteil +0.975%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.96%22.77%22.90%25.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.094.004.6127.78%24.48%25.00%21.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)

Prognose 77.33%1.29faire Quote
EV -2.56%
Vorteil -2.03%
Kelly -9.85%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.07%77.23%77.10%79.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.18%81.30%79.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV +4.49%E +0.975%K +1.24%G +0.056%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:55
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +4.27%E +0.928%K +1.19%G +0.051%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:45
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.00%E +0.444%K +0.571%G +0.011%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 10:20
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -0.040%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 10:54
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.267%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:46
DraftKings4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -0.720%E -0.164%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 10:50
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:37
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 10:38
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:19
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:45
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.75%E -7.41%K -48.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:16
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:30
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:20
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.43%E -5.31%K -30.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 10:20
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:30
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:50
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 10:20
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 10:30
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:29
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:30
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:38
1xBet4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 10:51
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:20
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:19
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:20
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:20
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:18
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:51
ProphetX4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-14 10:30
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-14 10:46