Lingua:Italiano
Martin Landaluce v Lorenzo Musetti
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Martin Landaluce (Casa)
Previsione 22.67%4.41quota equa
EV +4.49%
Vantaggio +0.975%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.056%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.61
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.96%22.77%22.90%25.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.094.004.6127.78%24.48%25.00%21.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta)
Previsione 77.33%1.29quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -9.85%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.07%77.23%77.10%79.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.18%81.30%79.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Martin Landaluce (Casa): 22.67%; Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta): 77.33%. Per Martin Landaluce (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.41. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.61, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.49%.
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%EV +4.49%E +0.975%K +1.24%G +0.056% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +4.27%E +0.928%K +1.19%G +0.051% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +2.00%E +0.444%K +0.571%G +0.011% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.95%EV -0.040%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.267%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -0.720%E -0.164%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.375%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.85%E -0.428%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.53%E -0.589%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.75%E -7.41%K -48.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.67%E -0.863%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.43%E -5.31%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.07%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -7.52%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.33%E -2.33%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -36.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.47%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.33%E -2.67%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.60%E -2.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.31%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.87%E -3.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -4.88%E -3.97%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.00%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.40%E -5.11%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Novig◎ | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |