A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Sonego v Andrey Rublev

Início: 2026-04-16 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Previsão 23.99%4.17odd justa
EV +7.94%
Vantagem +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Crescimento +0.180%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%24.16%24.09%28.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.893.924.5030.30%25.69%25.51%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrey Rublev (Visitante)

Previsão 76.01%1.32odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -6.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.90%75.84%75.91%78.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.60%80.65%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.94%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 11:44
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.86%E +0.891%K +1.16%G +0.045%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:45
DraftKings4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 11:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.740%E +0.176%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 08:49
Pinnacle4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV -0.460%E -0.111%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 11:45
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:44
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.02%E -6.63%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.82%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 11:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:44
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 07:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:25
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Coolbet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.98%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:44
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:10
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 11:36
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 11:45
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 11:30
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 11:44
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Betclic (FR)3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.73%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.10%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 11:45
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -17.25%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -20.85%E -6.32%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.94%E -1.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-16 11:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-04-16 11:45
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 22.70%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.30%6.9%2026-04-16 11:45