La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Sonego v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV +7.94%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Crecimiento +0.180%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%24.16%24.09%28.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.893.924.5030.30%25.69%25.51%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 76.01%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -6.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.90%75.84%75.91%78.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.60%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.94%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.86%E +0.891%K +1.16%G +0.045% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.740%E +0.176%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 08:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV -0.460%E -0.111%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Betway | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.02%E -6.63%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.82%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| NordicBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Betsson | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 07:20 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 10:25 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Coolbet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Fliff | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.98%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 11:36 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.73%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.10%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -17.25%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -20.85%E -6.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.94%E -1.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| ProphetX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |
| Novig | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.70% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.30% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 11:45 |