مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Sonego v Andrey Rublev

البداية: 2026-04-16 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.99%4.17السعر العادل
EV +7.94%
الأفضلية +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
النمو +0.180%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.33%24.16%24.09%28.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.893.924.5030.30%25.69%25.51%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Andrey Rublev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.01%1.32السعر العادل
EV -1.94%
الأفضلية -1.51%
Kelly -6.69%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.90%75.84%75.91%78.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.60%80.65%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.94%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 11:44
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.86%E +0.891%K +1.16%G +0.045%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:45
DraftKings4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 11:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.740%E +0.176%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 08:49
Pinnacle4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV -0.460%E -0.111%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 11:45
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:44
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.02%E -6.63%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.82%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 11:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:44
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 07:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:25
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Coolbet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.98%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:44
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:10
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 11:36
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 11:45
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 11:30
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 11:44
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Betclic (FR)3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.73%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.10%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 11:45
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -17.25%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -20.85%E -6.32%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.94%E -1.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-16 11:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-04-16 11:45
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 22.70%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.30%6.9%2026-04-16 11:45