StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lorenzo Sonego v Andrey Rublev

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-16 12:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lorenzo Sonego (Heim)

Prognose 23.99%4.17faire Quote
EV +7.94%
Vorteil +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Wachstum +0.180%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.33%24.16%24.09%28.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.893.924.5030.30%25.69%25.51%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Auswärts)

Prognose 76.01%1.32faire Quote
EV -1.94%
Vorteil -1.51%
Kelly -6.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.90%75.84%75.91%78.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Lorenzo Sonego (Heim): 23.99%; Andrey Rublev (Auswärts): 76.01%. Für Lorenzo Sonego (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.17. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.94%.

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.94%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 11:44
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.86%E +0.891%K +1.16%G +0.045%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:45
DraftKings🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 11:45
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.740%E +0.176%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 08:49
Pinnacle🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV -0.460%E -0.111%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 11:45
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betway🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.02%E -6.63%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.82%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 11:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:44
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 07:20
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:25
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Coolbet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.98%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:44
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 11:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 11:45
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 11:44
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.73%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.10%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 11:45
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -17.25%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -20.85%E -6.32%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.94%E -1.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-16 11:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-04-16 11:45
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 22.70%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.30%6.9%2026-04-16 11:45