Szkoła Kursów

Lorenzo Sonego v Andrey Rublev

Początek: 2026-04-16 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 23.99%4.17kurs godziwy
EV +7.94%
Przewaga +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Wzrost +0.180%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.33%24.16%24.09%28.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.893.924.5030.30%25.69%25.51%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Andrey Rublev (Goście)

Prognoza 76.01%1.32kurs godziwy
EV -1.94%
Przewaga -1.51%
Kelly -6.69%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.90%75.84%75.91%78.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.94%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 11:44
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +3.86%E +0.891%K +1.16%G +0.045%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:45
DraftKings4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV +3.62%E +0.837%K +1.09%G +0.039%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 11:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.740%E +0.176%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 08:49
Pinnacle4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV -0.460%E -0.111%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 11:45
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 11:44
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.02%E -6.63%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.82%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 11:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 11:44
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 07:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 10:25
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 10:50
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Coolbet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.98%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:45
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 11:44
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 11:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:10
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 11:36
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 11:45
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 11:30
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 11:45
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 11:44
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 11:44
Betclic (FR)3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.73%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.10%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 11:45
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.46%E -2.73%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.98%E -3.99%K -19.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 11:45
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -17.25%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-16 11:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -20.85%E -6.32%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.94%E -1.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-16 11:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-04-16 11:45
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-04-16 11:45
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-04-16 11:45
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 22.70%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.30%6.9%2026-04-16 11:45