Language:English
Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crystal Palace (Local)
Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%57.13%57.07%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.37%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shakhtar Donetsk (Visit)
Prediction 18.77%5.33fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.422%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.66%18.75%18.84%21.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.975.005.4522.73%20.10%20.00%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%24.12%24.08%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crystal Palace (Local): 57.17%; Shakhtar Donetsk (Visit): 18.77%; Draw: 24.06%. For Shakhtar Donetsk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.01%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.77%EV +2.30%E +0.422%K +0.517%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.516%E -0.097%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.02%EV -0.892%E -0.169%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.33%EV -5.91%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 04:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.25%E -3.81%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -9.11%E -5.73%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.89%EV -4.83%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.96%E -4.95%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 18:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.41%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |