La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crystal Palace (Local)
Predicción 57.17%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.43%57.13%57.07%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.37%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shakhtar Donetsk (Visitante)
Predicción 18.77%5.33momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.422%
Kelly +0.517%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.66%18.75%18.84%21.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.975.005.4522.73%20.10%20.00%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.51%24.12%24.08%25.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.01%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.77%EV +2.30%E +0.422%K +0.517%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.516%E -0.097%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.02%EV -0.892%E -0.169%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.33%EV -5.91%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 04:30 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.25%E -3.81%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -9.11%E -5.73%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.89%EV -4.83%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 18:49 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.96%E -4.95%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 18:48 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 18:19 |
| Bovada | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 18:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.41%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |