Школа коэффициентов

Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk

Начало: 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

Итог: Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

39 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Crystal Palace (Хозяева)

Прогноз 57.17%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.67%
Преимущество -0.973%
Kelly -2.32%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.72

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.43%57.13%57.07%58.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.37%59.88%58.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Shakhtar Donetsk (Гости)

Прогноз 18.77%5.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.30%
Преимущество +0.422%
Kelly +0.517%
Рост +0.012%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.66%18.75%18.84%21.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.975.005.4522.73%20.10%20.00%18.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.06%4.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.34%
Преимущество -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.51%24.12%24.08%25.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (39 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.01%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.77%EV +2.30%E +0.422%K +0.517%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.516%E -0.097%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.02%EV -0.892%E -0.169%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.33%EV -5.91%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 04:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.25%E -3.81%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -9.11%E -5.73%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.89%EV -4.83%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:19
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:49
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.96%E -4.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 18:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Suprabets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:48
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 18:40
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:34
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.41%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (3)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40