L’École des cotes

Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

Score final : Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crystal Palace (Local)

Prévision 57.17%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.43%57.13%57.07%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.37%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shakhtar Donetsk (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.77%5.33cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.422%
Kelly +0.517%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.66%18.75%18.84%21.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.975.005.4522.73%20.10%20.00%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.51%24.12%24.08%25.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.01%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.77%EV +2.30%E +0.422%K +0.517%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.516%E -0.097%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.02%EV -0.892%E -0.169%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.33%EV -5.91%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 04:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.25%E -3.81%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -9.11%E -5.73%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.89%EV -4.83%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:19
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:49
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.96%E -4.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 18:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Suprabets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:48
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 18:40
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:34
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.41%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40