مدرسة الاحتمالات

Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk

البداية: 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

39 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Crystal Palace (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.17%1.75السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.973%
Kelly -2.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.43%57.13%57.07%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.37%59.88%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shakhtar Donetsk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.77%5.33السعر العادل
EV +2.30%
الأفضلية +0.422%
Kelly +0.517%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.66%18.75%18.84%21.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.975.005.4522.73%20.10%20.00%18.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.06%4.16السعر العادل
EV -1.34%
الأفضلية -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.51%24.12%24.08%25.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.01%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.77%EV +2.30%E +0.422%K +0.517%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.516%E -0.097%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.02%EV -0.892%E -0.169%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.33%EV -5.91%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 04:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.25%E -3.81%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -9.11%E -5.73%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.89%EV -4.83%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:19
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:49
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.96%E -4.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 18:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Suprabets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:48
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 18:40
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:34
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.41%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40