StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Crystal Palace (Hemma)

Prognos 57.17%1.75rättvist odds
EV -1.67%
Fördel -0.973%
Kelly -2.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.43%57.13%57.07%58.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.37%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shakhtar Donetsk (Borta)

Prognos 18.77%5.33rättvist odds
EV +2.30%
Fördel +0.422%
Kelly +0.517%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.66%18.75%18.84%21.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.975.005.4522.73%20.10%20.00%18.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.06%4.16rättvist odds
EV -1.34%
Fördel -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.51%24.12%24.08%25.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Crystal Palace (Hemma): 57.17%; Shakhtar Donetsk (Borta): 18.77%; Oavgjort: 24.06%. För Shakhtar Donetsk (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.33. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.45, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.30%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.01%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.77%EV +2.30%E +0.422%K +0.517%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.87%EV +1.36%E +0.252%K +0.309%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.82%E -0.447%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV -0.516%E -0.097%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.02%EV -0.892%E -0.169%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.33%EV -5.91%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:15
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -1.45%E -0.277%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 04:30
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -6.25%E -3.81%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.01%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -9.11%E -5.73%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.89%EV -4.83%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -4.47%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -3.39%E -2.01%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 18:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:49
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.68%E -3.44%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.96%E -4.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -9.68%E -6.12%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -6.15%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.39%E -4.56%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.53%E -2.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:19
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.82%E -4.18%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -1.67%E -0.973%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -12.72%E -2.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.53%E -5.33%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.66%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.82%E -1.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -3.96%E -2.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.41%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 18:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-07 18:40