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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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AGF Aarhus v Lech Poznań

開賽時間： 2026-07-21 17:00 UTC

最終賽果： AGF Aarhus 1–4 Lech Poznań

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

AGF Aarhus (主隊)

預測 36.31%2.75公平賠率
EV -4.86%
優勢 -1.86%
Kelly -3.00%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.62

博彩公司預測分布
35.43%36.29%36.35%37.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.452.572.572.6240.82%38.98%38.91%38.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lech Poznań (客隊)

預測 35.17%2.84公平賠率
EV -1.88%
優勢 -0.674%
Kelly -1.05%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.79

博彩公司預測分布
33.96%35.04%35.12%35.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.552.662.652.7939.22%37.63%37.74%35.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 28.52%3.51公平賠率
EV -3.04%
優勢 -0.893%
Kelly -1.26%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.40

博彩公司預測分布
27.84%28.67%28.53%30.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.173.103.4033.33%31.51%32.26%29.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：AGF Aarhus (主隊)：36.31%；Lech Poznań (客隊)：35.17%；和局：28.52%。 對於「Lech Poznań (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.84的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.79，期望值為-1.88%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:50
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -1.88%E -0.674%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.88%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -3.29%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -7.51%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:45
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 16:45
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55