A Escola das OddsPortuguês
AGF Aarhus v Lech Poznań
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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AGF Aarhus (Local)
Previsão 36.31%2.75odd justa
EV -4.86%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.43%36.29%36.35%37.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.572.572.6240.82%38.98%38.91%38.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Previsão 35.17%2.84odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.96%35.04%35.12%35.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.662.652.7939.22%37.63%37.74%35.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 28.52%3.51odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -0.893%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.84%28.67%28.53%30.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.173.103.4033.33%31.51%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -1.88%E -0.674%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.88%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 16:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -3.29%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -7.51%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |