L’École des cotesAGF Aarhus v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AGF Aarhus (Local)
Prévision 36.31%2.75cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.43%36.29%36.35%37.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.572.572.6240.82%38.98%38.91%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.17%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.674%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%35.04%35.12%35.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.662.652.7939.22%37.63%37.74%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.84%28.67%28.53%30.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.103.4033.33%31.51%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -1.88%E -0.674%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.88%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 16:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -3.29%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -7.51%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-21 16:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 16:55 |