Oddsskolan

AGF Aarhus v Lech Poznań

Matchstart: 2026-07-21 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: AGF Aarhus 1–4 Lech Poznań

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

31 spelbolag (7 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

AGF Aarhus (Hemma)

Prognos 36.31%2.75rättvist odds
EV -4.86%
Fördel -1.86%
Kelly -3.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.43%36.29%36.35%37.11%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.452.572.572.6240.82%38.98%38.91%38.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Lech Poznań (Borta)

Prognos 35.17%2.84rättvist odds
EV -1.88%
Fördel -0.674%
Kelly -1.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.96%35.04%35.12%35.91%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.552.662.652.7939.22%37.63%37.74%35.84%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.52%3.51rättvist odds
EV -3.04%
Fördel -0.893%
Kelly -1.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.84%28.67%28.53%30.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.173.103.4033.33%31.51%32.26%29.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (31 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:50
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:50
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -1.88%E -0.674%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.88%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:54
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -3.29%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -7.51%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 16:55
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 16:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 16:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 16:45
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 16:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 16:55
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 16:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55