赔率学院

AGF Aarhus v Lech Poznań

开赛时间： 2026-07-21 17:00 UTC

最终结果： AGF Aarhus 1–4 Lech Poznań

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

AGF Aarhus (主队)

预测 36.31%2.75公平赔率
EV -4.86%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -3.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.62

博彩公司预测分布
35.43%36.29%36.35%37.11%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.452.572.572.6240.82%38.98%38.91%38.17%MIN均值中位数MAX

Lech Poznań (客队)

预测 35.17%2.84公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -0.674%
Kelly -1.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.79

博彩公司预测分布
33.96%35.04%35.12%35.91%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.552.662.652.7939.22%37.63%37.74%35.84%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.52%3.51公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -0.893%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.84%28.67%28.53%30.28%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.173.103.4033.33%31.51%32.26%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:50
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:50
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -1.88%E -0.674%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.88%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:54
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -3.29%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 16:55
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -7.51%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 16:55
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -7.04%E -2.75%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -7.16%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 16:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 16:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.05%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 16:45
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 16:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-21 16:55
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 16:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-21 16:55