Language:English
Samsunspor v Fenerbahce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samsunspor (Local)
Prediction 17.66%5.66fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +0.855%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.76%17.64%17.73%19.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.345.305.9021.74%18.71%18.87%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce (Visit)
Prediction 59.54%1.68fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.15%59.59%59.44%62.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.70%64.31%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV +0.334%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%22.78%22.83%24.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.31%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 17.66%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 59.54%; Draw: 22.80%. For Samsunspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +4.19%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.55%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -2.86%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +0.658%E +0.115%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.05%EV -0.225%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.84%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.09%E -0.726%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -5.70%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.00%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.91%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.65%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -18.77%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |