Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Samsunspor v Fenerbahce

Początek: 2026-08-30 18:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahce

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Samsunspor (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 17.66%5.66kurs godziwy
EV +4.19%
Przewaga +0.710%
Kelly +0.855%
Wzrost +0.036%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.76%17.64%17.73%19.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.345.305.9021.74%18.71%18.87%16.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fenerbahce (Goście)

Prognoza 59.54%1.68kurs godziwy
EV -3.55%
Przewaga -2.19%
Kelly -5.72%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.15%59.59%59.44%62.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.70%64.31%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.80%4.39kurs godziwy
EV +0.334%
Przewaga +0.076%
Kelly +0.098%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.28%22.78%22.83%24.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.31%24.39%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Samsunspor (Gospodarze): 17.66%; Fenerbahce (Goście): 59.54%; Remis: 22.80%. Dla wyniku Samsunspor (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.66. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.90, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.19%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +4.19%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:10
1xBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.55%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -2.86%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:25
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:15
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 13:50
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +0.658%E +0.115%K +0.140%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.05%EV -0.225%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.84%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:49
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.09%E -0.726%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:15
GTbets🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -5.70%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.00%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 12:50
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 18:15
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.91%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:05
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.65%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -18.77%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-30 18:25