Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Samsunspor v Fenerbahce

Inizio: 2026-08-30 18:30 UTC

Finale: Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahce

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Samsunspor (Casa)

Previsione 17.66%5.66quota equa
EV +4.19%
Vantaggio +0.710%
Kelly +0.855%
Crescita +0.036%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.76%17.64%17.73%19.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.345.305.9021.74%18.71%18.87%16.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fenerbahce (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.54%1.68quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -5.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.15%59.59%59.44%62.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.70%64.31%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.80%4.39quota equa
EV +0.334%
Vantaggio +0.076%
Kelly +0.098%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.28%22.78%22.83%24.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.31%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Samsunspor (Casa): 17.66%; Fenerbahce (Trasferta): 59.54%; Pareggio: 22.80%. Per Samsunspor (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.66. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.19%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +4.19%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:10
1xBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.55%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -2.86%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:25
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:15
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 13:50
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +0.658%E +0.115%K +0.140%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.05%EV -0.225%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.84%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:49
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.09%E -0.726%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:15
GTbets🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -5.70%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.00%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 12:50
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 18:15
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.91%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:05
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.65%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -18.77%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-30 18:25