Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Samsunspor v Fenerbahce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 18:30 UTC

Score final : Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahce

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prévision 17.66%5.66cote équitable
EV +4.19%
Avantage +0.710%
Kelly +0.855%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.76%17.64%17.73%19.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.345.305.9021.74%18.71%18.87%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.54%1.68cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.15%59.59%59.44%62.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.70%64.31%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.80%4.39cote équitable
EV +0.334%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.098%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.28%22.78%22.83%24.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.31%24.39%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Samsunspor (Local) : 17.66% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 59.54% ; Match nul : 22.80%. Pour Samsunspor (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.66. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.90, soit une espérance positive de +4.19%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +4.19%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:10
1xBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.55%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -2.86%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:25
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:15
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 13:50
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +0.658%E +0.115%K +0.140%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.05%EV -0.225%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.84%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:49
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.09%E -0.726%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:15
GTbets🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -5.70%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.00%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 12:50
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 18:15
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.91%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:05
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.65%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -18.77%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-30 18:25