语言:简体中文
Samsunspor v Fenerbahce
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Samsunspor (主队)
预测 17.66%5.66公平赔率
EV +4.19%
优势 +0.710%
Kelly +0.855%
增长率 +0.036%
假设最高赔率为 5.90
博彩公司预测分布
15.76%17.64%17.73%19.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.345.305.9021.74%18.71%18.87%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fenerbahce (客队)
预测 59.54%1.68公平赔率
EV -3.55%
优势 -2.19%
Kelly -5.72%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
58.15%59.59%59.44%62.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.70%64.31%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.80%4.39公平赔率
EV +0.334%
优势 +0.076%
Kelly +0.098%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
21.28%22.78%22.83%24.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.31%24.39%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Samsunspor (主队)：17.66%；Fenerbahce (客队)：59.54%；平局：22.80%。 对于“Samsunspor (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.66。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.90，对应+4.19%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +4.19%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.55%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -2.86%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +0.658%E +0.115%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.05%EV -0.225%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.84%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.09%E -0.726%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -5.70%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.00%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.91%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.65%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -18.77%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |