StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Samsunspor v Fenerbahce

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 18:30 UTC

Endstand: Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahce

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Samsunspor (Heim)

Prognose 17.66%5.66faire Quote
EV +4.19%
Vorteil +0.710%
Kelly +0.855%
Wachstum +0.036%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.76%17.64%17.73%19.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.605.345.305.9021.74%18.71%18.87%16.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.54%1.68faire Quote
EV -3.55%
Vorteil -2.19%
Kelly -5.72%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.15%59.59%59.44%62.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.70%64.31%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.80%4.39faire Quote
EV +0.334%
Vorteil +0.076%
Kelly +0.098%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.28%22.78%22.83%24.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.31%24.39%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Samsunspor (Heim): 17.66%; Fenerbahce (Auswärts): 59.54%; Unentschieden: 22.80%. Für Samsunspor (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.66. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.19%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +4.19%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:10
1xBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.55%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.74%EV -2.86%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:25
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +2.42%E +0.418%K +0.505%G +0.012%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:15
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 13:50
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:15
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +1.54%E +0.268%K +0.324%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +0.334%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV +0.658%E +0.115%K +0.140%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.05%EV -0.225%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.84%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.11%E -0.198%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -10.10%E -6.69%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:49
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -3.09%E -0.726%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.522%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:15
GTbets🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -5.70%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.24%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.00%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 12:50
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -6.41%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:20
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 18:15
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -7.29%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.91%E -5.82%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.91%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:05
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -8.17%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.26%EV -13.67%E -9.43%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.66%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 18:20
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.08%EV -8.56%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 18:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.70%E -2.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.72%E -4.98%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -13.47%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.65%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.12%E -4.57%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.88%EV -17.00%E -3.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -18.77%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.31%E -5.40%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-30 18:25