Language:English
Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 51.79%1.93fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.43%51.87%51.72%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.761.771.8560.98%56.72%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Besiktas JK (Visit)
Prediction 23.45%4.26fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%23.42%23.57%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -0.972%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.324%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.79%24.71%24.72%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.784.0028.57%26.58%26.46%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 51.79%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 23.45%; Draw: 24.76%. For Besiktas JK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.39%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -0.086%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.22%EV -4.78%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.42%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.57%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 06:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.30%E -4.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 18:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.32%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 10:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.91%E -5.12%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |