Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK

Início: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

Final: Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas JK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fenerbahce (Local)

Previsão 51.79%1.93odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -4.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.43%51.87%51.72%54.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.761.771.8560.98%56.72%56.34%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Besiktas JK (Visitante)

Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV +3.20%
Vantagem +0.727%
Kelly +0.941%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.34%23.42%23.57%24.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.76%4.04odd justa
EV -0.972%
Vantagem -0.243%
Kelly -0.324%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.79%24.71%24.72%25.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.763.784.0028.57%26.58%26.46%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fenerbahce (Local): 51.79%; Besiktas JK (Visitante): 23.45%; Empate: 24.76%. Para Besiktas JK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.39%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -0.086%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.22%EV -4.78%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.42%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:44
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 05:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 05:10
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.57%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 02:05
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 05:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 01:19
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 09:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 06:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 06:55
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.30%E -4.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:22
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 06:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 07:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.32%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 10:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.91%E -5.12%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45