语言:简体中文
Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fenerbahce (主队)
预测 51.79%1.93公平赔率
EV -4.19%
优势 -2.27%
Kelly -4.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
50.43%51.87%51.72%54.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.761.771.8560.98%56.72%56.34%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Besiktas JK (客队)
预测 23.45%4.26公平赔率
EV +3.20%
优势 +0.727%
Kelly +0.941%
增长率 +0.030%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
21.34%23.42%23.57%24.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.76%4.04公平赔率
EV -0.972%
优势 -0.243%
Kelly -0.324%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.79%24.71%24.72%25.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.763.784.0028.57%26.58%26.46%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fenerbahce (主队)：51.79%；Besiktas JK (客队)：23.45%；平局：24.76%。 对于“Besiktas JK (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.26。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.40，对应+3.20%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.39%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -0.086%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.22%EV -4.78%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.42%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.57%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 06:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.30%E -4.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 18:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.32%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 10:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.91%E -5.12%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |