StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas JK

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fenerbahce (Hemma)

Prognos 51.79%1.93rättvist odds
EV -4.19%
Fördel -2.27%
Kelly -4.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.43%51.87%51.72%54.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.641.761.771.8560.98%56.72%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Borta)

Prognos 23.45%4.26rättvist odds
EV +3.20%
Fördel +0.727%
Kelly +0.941%
Tillväxt +0.030%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.34%23.42%23.57%24.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.76%4.04rättvist odds
EV -0.972%
Fördel -0.243%
Kelly -0.324%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.79%24.71%24.72%25.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.763.784.0028.57%26.58%26.46%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fenerbahce (Hemma): 51.79%; Besiktas JK (Borta): 23.45%; Oavgjort: 24.76%. För Besiktas JK (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.26. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.20%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.39%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -0.086%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.22%EV -4.78%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.42%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:44
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 05:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 05:10
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.57%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 02:05
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 05:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 01:19
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 09:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 06:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 06:55
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.30%E -4.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:22
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 06:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 07:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.32%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 10:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.91%E -5.12%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45