Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK

Początek: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas JK

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Fenerbahce (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 51.79%1.93kurs godziwy
EV -4.19%
Przewaga -2.27%
Kelly -4.93%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.43%51.87%51.72%54.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.641.761.771.8560.98%56.72%56.34%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Besiktas JK (Goście)

Prognoza 23.45%4.26kurs godziwy
EV +3.20%
Przewaga +0.727%
Kelly +0.941%
Wzrost +0.030%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.34%23.42%23.57%24.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.76%4.04kurs godziwy
EV -0.972%
Przewaga -0.243%
Kelly -0.324%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.79%24.71%24.72%25.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.763.784.0028.57%26.58%26.46%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Fenerbahce (Gospodarze): 51.79%; Besiktas JK (Goście): 23.45%; Remis: 24.76%. Dla wyniku Besiktas JK (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.26. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.20%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.39%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -0.086%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.22%EV -4.78%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.42%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:44
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 05:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 05:10
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.57%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 02:05
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 05:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 01:19
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 09:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 06:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 06:55
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.30%E -4.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:22
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 10:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 06:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 07:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.32%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 10:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.91%E -5.12%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-02 17:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45