Idioma:Español
Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fenerbahce (Local)
Predicción 51.79%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -4.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.43%51.87%51.72%54.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.761.771.8560.98%56.72%56.34%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Besiktas JK (Visitante)
Predicción 23.45%4.26momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.727%
Kelly +0.941%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%23.42%23.57%24.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.76%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.972%
Ventaja -0.243%
Kelly -0.324%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.79%24.71%24.72%25.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.763.784.0028.57%26.58%26.46%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fenerbahce (Local): 51.79%; Besiktas JK (Visitante): 23.45%; Empate: 24.76%. Para Besiktas JK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.26. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +3.20%E +0.727%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.39%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -0.086%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -0.320%E -0.075%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -1.49%E -0.355%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.07%EV -15.07%E -9.19%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -3.84%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.22%EV -4.78%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.42%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.93%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.19%EV -9.14%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.57%EV -5.48%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.972%E -0.243%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 05:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.45%E -0.884%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 06:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.18%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.30%E -4.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 18:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.32%EV -10.41%E -6.01%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 10:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -17.91%E -5.12%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |