Language:English
Fenerbahce v Basaksehir
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 54.43%1.84fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.50%54.48%56.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.40%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Basaksehir (Visit)
Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd
EV +8.18%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.178%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.71%22.74%22.70%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.224.204.7526.67%23.68%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.92%22.76%22.82%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.024.004.3430.30%24.87%25.00%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 54.43%; Basaksehir (Visit): 22.77%; Draw: 22.79%. For Basaksehir (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -11.28%E -6.92%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.97%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -12.91%E -8.07%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV +4.76%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.063% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -14.54%E -9.26%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.07%E -0.481%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.76%EV -3.36%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.87%EV -3.43%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.34%EV -1.08%E -0.248%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 16:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.84%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.06%EV -6.85%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.09%EV -2.67%E -0.626%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.04%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.36%E -7.68%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -11.82%E -7.30%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -24.78%E -7.51%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |