A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Fenerbahce v Basaksehir
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Fenerbahce (Local)
Previsão 54.43%1.84odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -4.75%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%54.50%54.48%56.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.40%58.82%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Basaksehir (Visitante)
Previsão 22.77%4.39odd justa
EV +8.18%
Vantagem +1.72%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescimento +0.178%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.71%22.74%22.70%24.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.224.204.7526.67%23.68%23.81%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 22.79%4.39odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.248%
Kelly -0.323%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.34
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.92%22.76%22.82%25.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.304.024.004.3430.30%24.87%25.00%23.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -11.28%E -6.92%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.97%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -12.91%E -8.07%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV +4.76%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.063% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -14.54%E -9.26%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.07%E -0.481%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.76%EV -3.36%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.87%EV -3.43%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.34%EV -1.08%E -0.248%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 16:26 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.84%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.06%EV -6.85%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.09%EV -2.67%E -0.626%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.04%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.36%E -7.68%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -11.82%E -7.30%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -24.78%E -7.51%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |