L’École des cotesFrançais
Fenerbahce v Basaksehir
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prévision 54.43%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%54.50%54.48%56.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.40%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Basaksehir (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.77%4.39cote équitable
EV +8.18%
Avantage +1.72%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.178%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.71%22.74%22.70%24.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.224.204.7526.67%23.68%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.79%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.248%
Kelly -0.323%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.92%22.76%22.82%25.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.024.004.3430.30%24.87%25.00%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -11.28%E -6.92%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.97%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -12.91%E -8.07%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV +4.76%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.063% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -14.54%E -9.26%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.07%E -0.481%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.76%EV -3.36%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.87%EV -3.43%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.34%EV -1.08%E -0.248%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 16:26 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.84%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.06%EV -6.85%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.09%EV -2.67%E -0.626%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:11 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.04%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.36%E -7.68%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -11.82%E -7.30%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -24.78%E -7.51%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |