Die Schule der Quoten

Fenerbahce v Basaksehir

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Endstand: Fenerbahce 3–1 Basaksehir

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fenerbahce (Heim)

Prognose 54.43%1.84faire Quote
EV -3.66%
Vorteil -2.07%
Kelly -4.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.00%54.50%54.48%56.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.40%58.82%56.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Basaksehir (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.77%4.39faire Quote
EV +8.18%
Vorteil +1.72%
Kelly +2.18%
Wachstum +0.178%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.71%22.74%22.70%24.12%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.754.224.204.7526.67%23.68%23.81%21.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.79%4.39faire Quote
EV -1.08%
Vorteil -0.248%
Kelly -0.323%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.92%22.76%22.82%25.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.304.024.004.3430.30%24.87%25.00%23.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:11
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:11
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:11
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -11.28%E -6.92%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.97%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 16:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -12.91%E -8.07%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV +4.76%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.063%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:11
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 16:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 16:11
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -14.54%E -9.26%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:10
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.07%E -0.481%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:04
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.76%EV -3.36%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:50
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.87%EV -3.43%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.34%EV -1.08%E -0.248%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:50
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:26
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:05
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:41
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:05
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.84%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.06%EV -6.85%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.09%EV -2.67%E -0.626%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:11
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 16:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:50
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.04%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:41
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.36%E -7.68%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-02 16:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -11.82%E -7.30%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -24.78%E -7.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-02 16:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80%0.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%1.3%2026-05-02 16:55