Школа коэффициентов

Fenerbahce v Basaksehir

Начало: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Итог: Fenerbahce 3–1 Basaksehir

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fenerbahce (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.43%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.66%
Преимущество -2.07%
Kelly -4.75%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.00%54.50%54.48%56.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.681.701.7763.69%59.40%58.82%56.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Basaksehir (Гости)

Прогноз 22.77%4.39справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.18%
Преимущество +1.72%
Kelly +2.18%
Рост +0.178%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.71%22.74%22.70%24.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.224.204.7526.67%23.68%23.81%21.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.79%4.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.08%
Преимущество -0.248%
Kelly -0.323%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.34

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.92%22.76%22.82%25.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.304.024.004.3430.30%24.87%25.00%23.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:11
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +8.18%E +1.72%K +2.18%G +0.178%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:11
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:10
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:11
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -11.28%E -6.92%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV +7.04%E +1.50%K +1.90%G +0.134%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.97%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 16:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -12.91%E -8.07%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV +4.76%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.063%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:11
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 16:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -14.00%E -8.86%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 16:11
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -14.54%E -9.26%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV +2.49%E +0.553%K +0.710%G +0.018%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:10
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.01%E -4.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.07%E -0.481%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:04
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -3.21%E -0.755%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.76%EV -3.36%E -0.792%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:50
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.66%E -2.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.87%EV -3.43%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.34%EV -1.08%E -0.248%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:50
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.10%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.99%E -0.463%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:26
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.35%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:05
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:41
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:05
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.84%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.06%EV -6.85%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.09%EV -2.67%E -0.626%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:11
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.76%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.69%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 16:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:50
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.47%E -4.39%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.73%E -6.54%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.90%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.04%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.18%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:41
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.36%E -7.68%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.46%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-02 16:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.45%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -11.82%E -7.30%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -24.78%E -7.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-02 16:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80%0.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%1.3%2026-05-02 16:55