Language:English
Fatih Karagümrük v Genclerbirligi SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV +0.835%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.535%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%39.36%39.30%40.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.362.352.5645.05%42.45%42.55%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Genclerbirligi SK (Visit)
Prediction 31.20%3.20fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.628%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.73%31.20%31.26%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.903.2536.36%34.09%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.632%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%29.44%29.44%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.173.203.3536.36%31.59%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fatih Karagümrük (Local): 39.39%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visit): 31.20%; Draw: 29.41%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV +1.41%E +0.435%K +0.628%G +0.009% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -10.60%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -7.83%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -5.86%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV +0.835%E +0.326%K +0.535%G +0.004% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.09%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -12.56%E -5.66%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -19.13%E -6.96%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |