L’École des cotesFrançais
Fatih Karagümrük v Genclerbirligi SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Prévision 39.39%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.835%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.535%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 2.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.36%39.30%40.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.362.352.5645.05%42.45%42.55%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Genclerbirligi SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.20%3.20cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.435%
Kelly +0.628%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.73%31.20%31.26%33.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.903.2536.36%34.09%34.48%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.41%3.40cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -0.632%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.89%29.44%29.44%31.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.173.203.3536.36%31.59%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV +1.41%E +0.435%K +0.628%G +0.009% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -10.60%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -7.83%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| GTbets | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -5.86%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV +0.835%E +0.326%K +0.535%G +0.004% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.09%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -12.56%E -5.66%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -19.13%E -6.96%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |