Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Fatih Karagümrük v Genclerbirligi SK

Początek: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Fatih Karagümrük (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.39%2.54kurs godziwy
EV +0.835%
Przewaga +0.326%
Kelly +0.535%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.41%39.36%39.30%40.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.222.362.352.5645.05%42.45%42.55%39.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Genclerbirligi SK (Goście)

Prognoza 31.20%3.20kurs godziwy
EV +1.41%
Przewaga +0.435%
Kelly +0.628%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.73%31.20%31.26%33.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.932.903.2536.36%34.09%34.48%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.41%3.40kurs godziwy
EV -1.49%
Przewaga -0.443%
Kelly -0.632%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.89%29.44%29.44%31.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.173.203.3536.36%31.59%31.25%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Fatih Karagümrük (Gospodarze): 39.39%; Genclerbirligi SK (Goście): 31.20%; Remis: 29.41%. Dla wyniku Genclerbirligi SK (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.20. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.41%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV +1.41%E +0.435%K +0.628%G +0.009%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -10.60%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:41
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -7.83%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:55
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -5.86%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:51
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV +0.835%E +0.326%K +0.535%G +0.004%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.09%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:41
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:51
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:15
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 16:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -12.56%E -5.66%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -19.13%E -6.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 16:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-03 16:55
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-05-03 16:51
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%4.0%2026-05-03 16:45