La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fatih Karagümrük v Genclerbirligi SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Predicción 39.39%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.835%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.535%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.41%39.36%39.30%40.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.362.352.5645.05%42.45%42.55%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)
Predicción 31.20%3.20momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.435%
Kelly +0.628%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.73%31.20%31.26%33.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.903.2536.36%34.09%34.48%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.41%3.40momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.443%
Kelly -0.632%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%29.44%29.44%31.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.173.203.3536.36%31.59%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV +1.41%E +0.435%K +0.628%G +0.009% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -10.60%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -7.83%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| GTbets | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -5.86%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV +0.835%E +0.326%K +0.535%G +0.004% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.09%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 16:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -12.56%E -5.66%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -19.13%E -6.96%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |