La scuola delle quote

Fatih Karagümrük v Genclerbirligi SK

Inizio: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Finale: Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Casa)

Previsione 39.39%2.54quota equa
EV +0.835%
Vantaggio +0.326%
Kelly +0.535%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.41%39.36%39.30%40.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.222.362.352.5645.05%42.45%42.55%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Genclerbirligi SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.20%3.20quota equa
EV +1.41%
Vantaggio +0.435%
Kelly +0.628%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.73%31.20%31.26%33.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.932.903.2536.36%34.09%34.48%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.41%3.40quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.443%
Kelly -0.632%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.89%29.44%29.44%31.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.173.203.3536.36%31.59%31.25%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV +1.41%E +0.435%K +0.628%G +0.009%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:54
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -10.60%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:41
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -7.83%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:55
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -5.86%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:45
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 16:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:51
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV +0.835%E +0.326%K +0.535%G +0.004%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.09%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:41
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:41
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:51
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:15
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 16:19
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:35
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -12.56%E -5.66%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 16:25
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -19.13%E -6.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-03 16:55
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-05-03 16:51
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%4.0%2026-05-03 16:45