StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fatih Karagümrük v Genclerbirligi SK

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Endstand: Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fatih Karagümrük (Heim)

Prognose 39.39%2.54faire Quote
EV +0.835%
Vorteil +0.326%
Kelly +0.535%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.41%39.36%39.30%40.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.222.362.352.5645.05%42.45%42.55%39.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Genclerbirligi SK (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.20%3.20faire Quote
EV +1.41%
Vorteil +0.435%
Kelly +0.628%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.73%31.20%31.26%33.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.932.903.2536.36%34.09%34.48%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.41%3.40faire Quote
EV -1.49%
Vorteil -0.443%
Kelly -0.632%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.89%29.44%29.44%31.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.173.203.3536.36%31.59%31.25%29.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Fatih Karagümrük (Heim): 39.39%; Genclerbirligi SK (Auswärts): 31.20%; Unentschieden: 29.41%. Für Genclerbirligi SK (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.20. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.41%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV +1.41%E +0.435%K +0.628%G +0.009%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -6.78%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.71%E -0.542%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -10.60%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:41
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.26%EV -7.83%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:55
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.29%EV -5.86%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:51
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%EV +0.835%E +0.326%K +0.535%G +0.004%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.09%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.533%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.49%E -0.443%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:41
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:51
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:15
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 16:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.37%EV -12.56%E -5.66%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -19.13%E -6.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 16:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-03 16:55
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-05-03 16:51
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.41%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.77%4.0%2026-05-03 16:45