Language:English
Besiktas JK v Erzurum BB
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Besiktas JK (Local)
Prediction 73.33%1.36fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -15.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.84%73.41%73.36%75.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.12%78.43%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Erzurum BB (Visit)
Prediction 9.25%10.81fair odd
EV +9.17%
Edge +0.777%
Kelly +0.849%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 11.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.24%9.23%9.26%11.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7510.0410.0011.8012.90%9.96%10.00%8.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.42%5.74fair odd
EV +4.52%
Edge +0.753%
Kelly +0.904%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.70%17.36%17.38%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.295.326.0020.83%18.91%18.80%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 73.33%; Erzurum BB (Visit): 9.25%; Draw: 17.42%. For Erzurum BB (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.81. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.37%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +9.17%E +0.777%K +0.849%G +0.078% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.39%EV +3.30%E +0.557%K +0.670%G +0.022% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 05:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.49%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +1.77%E +0.161%K +0.177%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.542%E -0.050%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.88%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.03%EV -2.39%E -0.227%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -2.80%E -0.501%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.59%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.85%E -0.272%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +4.52%E +0.753%K +0.904%G +0.041% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.46%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 8.84%EV -2.95%E -0.281%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.70%EV -13.60%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.40%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.43I 9.59%NM 9.01%EV -3.50%E -0.336%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.59%EV -6.98%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.30%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.09%EV -3.97%E -0.382%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.61%EV -1.05%E -0.186%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.67%E -3.60%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 21:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.11%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.93%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV +0.165%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.87%E -5.41%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.19%E -0.762%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.48%E -0.748%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -11.27%E -9.32%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.12%EV -9.79%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 05:42 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.32%EV -7.61%E -6.04%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -5.06%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 20:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.54%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.80%EV -9.07%E -7.32%K -37.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.50%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.11%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.96%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -16.73%E -1.86%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -8.34%E -6.67%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -21.36%E -2.51%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -7.67%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.84%EV -10.54%E -8.64%K -47.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.15%EV -28.30%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.01%EV -16.38%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 02:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 13:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.78% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 11:20 |